• Question: If we continue to cut down trees at the rate that we currently are, in what year?in how many years will we have cut down every tree on the planet?

    Asked by Lottie to Chris, Josh, Rebecca, Rob, Susan on 18 Jun 2015.
    • Photo: Susan Cartwright

      Susan Cartwright answered on 18 Jun 2015:


      The answer to this is very sensitive to what kind of tree you mean.

      We are not losing coniferous trees. We do log them, but we plant them as well. They are, by tree standards, quite short-lived, and can be farmed effectively (i.e. you can cut a stand down, replant, and come back in 30 years or so and log again).

      We are losing hardwoods, especially tropical hardwoods (rainforest). I’m not an expert, but from what I’ve read, at the current rate of logging the Amazon rainforest would be gone in something like 50 years. I don’t think the African rainforest is going that fast, but we might still be talking about timescales of the order of a century or so. Some places, like Madagascar, have lost almost all their rainforest within living memory.

      Britain used to be almost entirely forested, with hardwoods (oak, ash etc.) in England and mixed hardwoods (birch, rowan) and coniferous (Scots pine) in highland Scotland and probably also the Welsh mountains. We lost nearly all of it from the invention of farming to the Middle Ages, through a combination of logging for construction and firewood and clearance for agriculture. We are now adding rather than losing trees, but in some places the environmental degradation would make it hard to get the forests back (it’s hard to grow trees on a peat bog).

      Rainforests are areas of extremely high species diversity, and logging them is not a good long-term strategy (most of the ecosystem’s nutrients are stored in the trees – cleared rainforest is very poor-quality soil and quickly degrades). Ideally, we need to stop doing this. But many of the countries in which rainforest is being lost are poor countries which rely on timber sales to boost their economies, and it’s hard for developed countries – which did exactly the same thing earlier in their histories – to be very convincing in making moral judgments. Eco-tourism may help. Empowering the forest natives would help more, but isn’t happening: Amazonian natives don’t want to lose their forest, but have little power against the logging and mining corporations.

      It can be done: Japan, back in history (can’t remember exactly when) realised that losing all its forest would be Not A Good Idea, and took steps to conserve it. Much of the interior of Japan is still forested.

    • Photo: Chris Armstrong

      Chris Armstrong answered on 18 Jun 2015:


      Because of the many complex variables here I’m going to take a smaller test sample and extrapolate.

      Last time I heard figures, it was that an area the size of Wales disappeared every year. Area of wales according to google is 20,000km2 or near enough. The area of the Amazon rain forest (according to google again) is 5,500,000 km2 dividing through I get:

      275 yrs.

      Now thats just the amazon and it doesn’t account for the change in deforestation rates since I last heard that statistic nor does it account for the reforestation efforts that are underway.

      On top of that the amazon rainforest is still one of the most heavily forested areas in the world, others are much better protected and better yet, there are foundations out there that intend to make new forests. And even a man that by himself has planted some ridiculous sized wooded area all by himself.

      Fear not Lottie we should have tree’s for far longer than my estimation.

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